METHOD FOR PREDICTING PAVEMENT SERVICE PERFORMANCE DISTRIBUTION CONDITION

The present invention discloses a method for predicting a pavement service performance distribution condition. The method sequentially comprises the following steps: (1) dividing a whole highway into units, and assessing service performance of each unit of the whole highway; (2) obtaining a service...

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Hauptverfasser: WANG Kun, YANG Sutong, ZHANG Hao, KANG Cunli, HAO Menghui, LIU Na, ZHENG Yakun, ZHANG Qing, FENG Luqing
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creator WANG Kun
YANG Sutong
ZHANG Hao
KANG Cunli
HAO Menghui
LIU Na
ZHENG Yakun
ZHANG Qing
FENG Luqing
description The present invention discloses a method for predicting a pavement service performance distribution condition. The method sequentially comprises the following steps: (1) dividing a whole highway into units, and assessing service performance of each unit of the whole highway; (2) obtaining a service performance distribution matrix over the years according to a probability of excellent, good, medium, inferior, and poor appearing in each unit of the whole highway; (3) obtaining a transition probability matrix with different step sizes according to the service performance distribution matrix over the years; (4) obtaining a state transition matrix weight of the Markov chain with different step sizes by using the transition probability matrix; and (5) calculating a pavement service performance th distribution matrix Bn+1 in an (n+1) year. The method of the present invention has compact steps, and further obtains a pavement service performance distribution condition based on a conventional pavement service performance index, thereby helping a highway maintenance management department to accurately grasp a change rule of the pavement service performance distribution condition of the whole pavement section.
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The method sequentially comprises the following steps: (1) dividing a whole highway into units, and assessing service performance of each unit of the whole highway; (2) obtaining a service performance distribution matrix over the years according to a probability of excellent, good, medium, inferior, and poor appearing in each unit of the whole highway; (3) obtaining a transition probability matrix with different step sizes according to the service performance distribution matrix over the years; (4) obtaining a state transition matrix weight of the Markov chain with different step sizes by using the transition probability matrix; and (5) calculating a pavement service performance th distribution matrix Bn+1 in an (n+1) year. 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subjects CALCULATING
COMPUTING
CONSTRUCTION OF ROADS, RAILWAYS, OR BRIDGES
CONSTRUCTION OF, OR SURFACES FOR, ROADS, SPORTS GROUNDS, ORTHE LIKE
COUNTING
DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FORADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORYOR FORECASTING PURPOSES
FIXED CONSTRUCTIONS
MACHINES OR AUXILIARY TOOLS FOR CONSTRUCTION OR REPAIR
PHYSICS
SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE,COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTINGPURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
title METHOD FOR PREDICTING PAVEMENT SERVICE PERFORMANCE DISTRIBUTION CONDITION
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