Anticipating the cause of abnormal operation in industrial machines

A computer identifies a parameter state transition that occurs in the future (T_event) and that influences the operation mode of a particular industrial machine. The computer processes an operational multi-variate time-series ({{X}}_op) that represents the operation of the particular industrial machine during a particular operation time-interval (T_op) that is ongoing at present (t_current). The computer provides a future multi-variate time-series ({X}_ft) that represents the predicted operation of the particular industrial machine during a particular prediction time-interval (T_ft) that reaches into the future. The computer anticipates (423) the parameter state transition for at least one particular parameter. The particular parameter is predicted to have a value that will be different from a reference value, and is predicted to influence the operation mode of the particular industrial machine.