System and Method for predicting the generation of Marine Heatwaves using mode water

The present invention relates to a system for predicting generation of marine heatwaves, which is executed by a computing device using a control server having a calculation function and database. The system for predicting generation of marine heatwaves presents relation between marine heatwaves and mode water. The system for predicting generation of marine heatwaves includes: a marine heatwave accumulation strength calculation unit (100) calculating accumulation strength of the marine heatwaves by accumulating the strength during a generation period of the marine heatwaves; a volume calculation unit (200) calculating the volume of the mode water in a same period as that of a satellite surface temperature material by using a model material or a latticed observational material; a first correlation analysis unit (300) analyzing a correlation by each month between the accumulation strength of the marine heatwaves and the volume of the mode water; a second correlation analysis unit (400) analyzing a time delay correlation between the accumulation strength of the marine heatwaves and the volume of the mode water; and a space pattern analysis unit (500) analyzing a space pattern of a time delay correlation coefficient analyzed by the second correlation analysis unit (400). 본 발명은 데이터베이스 및 연산기능을 가진 제어서버를 이용하는 컴퓨팅장치에 의해 수행되는 해양 열파 발생 예측시스템으로서, 해양열파 발생기간 동안의 강도를 누적하여 해양열파 누적강도를 계산하는 해양열파 누적강도 계산부(100); 격자화된 관측자료 또는 모델자료를 이용하여, 인공위성 표층수온 자료와 동일 기간의 모드수 부피를 계산하는 부피 계산부(200); 상기 모드수 부피와 해양열파 누적강도 간의 월별 상관관계를 분석하는 제1 상관관계 분석부(300); 상기 모드수 부피와 해양열파 누적강도 간의 시간지연 상관관계를 분석하는 제2 상관관계 분석부(400); 및 제2 상관관계 분석부(400)에서 분석된 시간지연 상관관계 계수의 공간패턴을 분석하는 공간패턴 분석부(500)를 포함한다.