METHOD AND DEVICE FOR PREDICTING POWER USE AMOUNT

To provide a device for predicting a power use amount, which can accurately predict a power use amount at a plant using an operation plan.SOLUTION: A device 100 for predicting a power use amount comprises: operation plan acquisition means 10 for acquiring an operation plan of a plant regarding operation time; operation achievement acquisition means 20 for acquiring an operation achievement of the plant regarding the operation time within prescribed past time; operation achievement change calculation means 30 for calculating the change degree of the operation achievement with respect to the operation plan within the prescribed past time; operation plan correction means 40 for correcting a future operation plan on the basis of the change level of the operation achievement; and power use amount prediction means 50 for predicting a future power use amount at the plant on the basis of the corrected operation plan.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 1 【課題】工場の電力使用量を操業計画を用いて精度良く予測可能な電力使用量予測装置等を提供する。【解決手段】電力使用量予測装置１００は、操業時刻に関わる工場の操業計画を取得する操業計画取得手段１０と、過去の所定時間内での操業時刻に関わる前記工場の操業実績を取得する操業実績取得手段２０と、前記過去の所定時間内での前記操業計画に対する前記操業実績の変化の度合いを算出する操業実績変化算出手段３０と、前記操業実績の変化の度合いに基づき、将来の前記操業計画を修正する操業計画修正手段４０と、修正後の前記操業計画に基づき、将来の前記工場の電力使用量を予測する電力使用量予測手段５０と、を備える。【選択図】 図１