OPERATION PLAN CREATING APPARATUS, AND PROGRAM THEREFOR

To provide an operation plan creating apparatus and a program therefor which create a plan including output suppression of a renewable energy with considering parameters having uncertainty.SOLUTION: An operation plan creating apparatus 1 according to the present invention has an acquiring unit and first and second uncertainty group generating units. The acquiring unit acquires first data that is data relating to a target electric power system and indicating a power demand past record, second data indicating a power generation result of renewable energy, third data indicating a specification of a power generator, and forth data indicating a state of the electric power system. The first uncertainty group generating unit, based on the first and second data, generates a predictive data indicating a range of statistically possible values. The second uncertainty group generating unit resolves a problem that both of the range indicated by the predictive data and restriction equation including functional restrictions indicated by the third and forth data are satisfied and a value of an objective function using at lease suppression of the renewable energy as costs is made closer to a desired value, thereby generating an operation plan for the power generator to store it in a storage unit.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 1 【課題】不確実性を持つパラメータを考慮しながら再生可能エネルギーの出力抑制を含む計画を作成する運転計画作成装置およびプログラムを提供する。【解決手段】運転計画作成装置１は、取得部と、第１、第２不確実性集合生成部とを持つ。取得部は、対象とする電力系統に関するデータであって、電力の需要実績を示す第１データ、再生可能エネルギーによる発電実績を示す第２データ、発電機の諸元を示す第３データおよび電力系統の状態を示す第４データをそれぞれ取得する。第１不確実性集合生成部は、第１、第２データのそれぞれに基づいて、統計的に取り得る範囲を示す予測データを生成する。第２不確実性集合生成部は、予測データの示す範囲と、第３、第４データが示す機能上の制約を含む制約式を満たし、少なくとも再生可能エネルギーの抑制をコストとした目的関数の値を所望の値に近づける問題を解くことで、発電機の運転計画を作成して記憶部に記憶させる。【選択図】図１