PREDICTION APPARATUS, PREDICTION METHOD, AND PROGRAM

Provided is a prediction system that predicts whether a prescribed event will occur in a device, without being affected by differences among individual devices. The prediction system comprises: a data acquisition unit which acquires operation data representing the operation status of a device; a probability density estimation unit which estimates the probability density of the operation data; and an abnormality prediction unit which predicts whether an abnormality will occur in the device on the basis of the probability density estimation results of the operation data and a prediction model.