Short-term load prediction method and system

The invention discloses a short-term load prediction method and system. The method comprises the following steps: acquiring historical load related data of a target power system, and preprocessing the historical load related data; taking the preprocessed historical load related data as input; establ...

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Hauptverfasser: PAN SHAOMING, LI RUI, ZHANG LEI, ZHAO JIAN, RAO XIAJIN, CHEN LIANGYUAN, LU YUFENG
Format: Patent
Sprache:chi ; eng
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Zusammenfassung:The invention discloses a short-term load prediction method and system. The method comprises the following steps: acquiring historical load related data of a target power system, and preprocessing the historical load related data; taking the preprocessed historical load related data as input; establishing a third load prediction model based on the first load prediction model and the second load prediction model; and according to the real-time target power system load related data, determining whether an output prediction value of the third load prediction model satisfies a demand or not, and if yes, completing establishment of the third load prediction model. According to the method, firstly, according to the accuracy of a historical load prediction result and the volatility of real-time data, the weights of a first load prediction model and a second load prediction model in a third load prediction model are dynamically adjusted; through continuous optimization and adjustment, the third load prediction model