Reliability prediction method and device, equipment, storage medium and program product

The invention relates to a reliability prediction method and device, equipment, a storage medium and a program product. The method comprises the steps of determining a current operation state of a target power distribution system in a current time period according to operation data of the target power distribution system under each alternative evaluation index in the current time period, and determining a target prediction operation state of the target power distribution system in a future time period according to a Markov model corresponding to the target power distribution system and the current operation state, and determining a target evaluation index of the target power distribution system from the alternative evaluation indexes according to the target prediction operation state, and predicting the reliability of the target power distribution system according to the target evaluation index and the target prediction operation state. By adopting the method, the accuracy of reliability prediction can be imp