Generated power prediction method for new energy power station

The invention discloses a generation power prediction method for a new energy power station, which overcomes the problems of low generation power prediction accuracy, inaccurate prediction result analysis and poor pertinence of the new energy power station in the prior art, and comprises the followi...

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Hauptverfasser: LU JINJING, ZHOU YIFEI, YE CHENGJIN, LIU QIANGQIANG, KONG WANGYING, ZHOU YI, TANG XIN, WANG QIANG, FANG JIE, PENG KUN, LI NAIYI, WU DI, SUN FENG, LIU ZHANGYIN, ZHOU MIN, QIAN WEIJIE, WAN CAN
Format: Patent
Sprache:chi ; eng
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Zusammenfassung:The invention discloses a generation power prediction method for a new energy power station, which overcomes the problems of low generation power prediction accuracy, inaccurate prediction result analysis and poor pertinence of the new energy power station in the prior art, and comprises the following steps: obtaining historical generation data of the new energy power station, building a generation power prediction model, and calculating the generation power of the new energy power station; predicting the generation power of the new energy power station; establishing a power prediction credibility evaluation model, and evaluating the predicted generated power by using an evaluation quantitative index; and carrying out online self-adaptive checking, calculating errors caused by each link in the power generation power prediction process, and carrying out targeted optimization on each link. The generation power prediction result of the new energy power station is corrected to improve the accuracy of the generati