Ecological system sustainable development prediction method and system

The invention provides an ecological system sustainable development prediction method and system, and the method can couple various elements in natural ecology and a human social system, including ecological system itself, human activity beneficial effects and human activity negative effects. And establishing an ecological toughness quantitative calculation framework taking the ecological attractor as drive and the push-pull effect of human activities as assistance, and predicting the sustainable development of the ecological system based on the calculated ecology. The framework comprises an ecological level-ecological inertia response module, a human activity positive feedback module and a human activity negative feedback module. According to the method, the synergistic influence of natural succession of the ecological system and additional action of human activities on ecological toughness can be comprehensively considered, the shaping action of human activities on natural landscape is fully considered, the