Electric power use long-term prediction method, system, equipment and medium

The invention belongs to the technical field of electric power prediction, and provides an electric power use long-term prediction method, system, equipment and medium in order to solve the problem that current electric power prediction is not accurate, an SARIMAX model is used for predicting multi-...

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Hauptverfasser: ZHAO PENG, YAN LI, QU YANSHENG, WANG GAOZHOU, HU HENGRUI, SUN GANG, HU HAILIN, WANG YUCHEN, ZHU YOUXIANG, LIANG TIAN, LIU XIN, CHANG YINGXIAN, GUAN TI, ZHANG JINGUO, HU BINHAO, HUANG YI, LIU BAOCHEN, WANG ZHONGLONG, YANG KUN, NIU DELING, LIANG YUNDAN, FAN JINGYU, SHAO ZHIMIN, XIAO SHENYANG
Format: Patent
Sprache:chi ; eng
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Zusammenfassung:The invention belongs to the technical field of electric power prediction, and provides an electric power use long-term prediction method, system, equipment and medium in order to solve the problem that current electric power prediction is not accurate, an SARIMAX model is used for predicting multi-source data related to electric power use to obtain floating point values of corresponding electric power prediction quantities, energy consumption types are obtained according to a classification model, and the electric power use long-term prediction method and system are provided. Obtaining a limited space range of the corresponding electric power prediction usage amount based on the energy consumption type, performing optimization adjustment on the SARIMAX model based on comparison of the limited space range of the electric power prediction usage amount and the obtained floating point value of the electric power prediction usage amount, and performing electric power prediction based on the model after optimizati