General real-time bus prediction method

The invention discloses a general real-time bus prediction method. The method comprises the following steps: (1) acquiring moving trajectory data, route station data and historical arrival information data of a bus in a recent week from a bus company; (2) processing each complete driving route track...

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Hauptverfasser: HU KAIHUA, ZHOU DESONG, XU GUILIN, WU SHUAIXIAN
Format: Patent
Sprache:chi ; eng
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Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:The invention discloses a general real-time bus prediction method. The method comprises the following steps: (1) acquiring moving trajectory data, route station data and historical arrival information data of a bus in a recent week from a bus company; (2) processing each complete driving route track data of the bus; (3) obtaining a bus route track by using a route track generation model DK-DP; (4) calculating the distance from the bus to the target station in the historical running state based on a mileage point calculation target station distance model MPS; (5) predicting a bus predicted arrival time model based on XGBoost regression; (6) predicting the predicted time by using a model for predicting the predicted arrival time of the bus; and (7) passenger query and display. According to the method, the traditional manual track route collection is replaced, the labor intensity is greatly reduced, the manpower consumption is reduced, the cost is reduced, the efficiency is improved, the prediction accuracy is v