Photovoltaic output prediction method and system based on multi-factor correction
The invention discloses a photovoltaic output prediction method and system based on multi-factor correction, and the method comprises the steps: building a photovoltaic output physical model, obtaining the meteorological information and equipment information of a prediction day, and determining the...
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Format: | Patent |
Sprache: | chi ; eng |
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Zusammenfassung: | The invention discloses a photovoltaic output prediction method and system based on multi-factor correction, and the method comprises the steps: building a photovoltaic output physical model, obtaining the meteorological information and equipment information of a prediction day, and determining the initial photovoltaic prediction power of the prediction day; determining influence factors for photovoltaic output prediction, and obtaining an influence factor importance weight vector corresponding to each variable importance evaluation method by adopting multiple variable importance evaluation methods; evaluating the multiple variable importance evaluation methods by adopting a fuzzy multi-criterion method, and determining an optimal evaluation method from the multiple variable importance evaluation methods; according to the influence factor importance weight vector corresponding to the optimal evaluation method, determining a correction coefficient of photovoltaic output; and determining final photovoltaic pred |
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