Uncertainty quantification method for safety evaluation of radioactive waste disposal system

The embodiment of the invention relates to a data processing system or method suitable for a prediction purpose, in particular to an uncertainty quantification method for safety evaluation of a radioactive waste disposal system, and the method comprises the following steps: obtaining initial state information; predicting future state information according to the initial state information; the uncertainty of future state information is identified; establishing a calculation model according to the initial state information and the future state information; identifying the uncertainty of the calculation model; analyzing future state information and the uncertainty of a calculation model, and obtaining a statistical distribution type and a probability distribution function of analysis parameters; and processing the statistical distribution type and the probability distribution function by using a Monte Carlo random sampling method to obtain a result of uncertainty quantification of safety evaluation of the radioa