Production simulation method and device considering new energy prediction deviation, equipment and medium

The invention discloses a production simulation method, device and equipment considering new energy prediction deviation, and a medium. The method comprises the following steps: determining a primary term coefficient and a quadratic term coefficient of thermal power generating unit start-stop coal consumption cost and thermal power generating unit operation coal consumption cost in a target area; creating a unit start-stop state variable and a unit output variable; based on the thermal power generating unit start-stop coal consumption cost, the primary term coefficient and the quadratic term coefficient of the thermal power generating unit operation coal consumption cost, the unit start-stop state variable and the unit output variable, on the basis of considering new energy prediction deviation distribution, an optimization model is constructed with the minimum unit coal consumption cost as the target; and determining constraint conditions of the optimization model, and solving the optimization model to obtai