Intelligent activity invitation fission ability analysis and prediction method

The invention provides an intelligent activity invitation fission ability analysis and prediction method, which comprises the following steps: acquiring and processing the friend number, the followers number and the community number of a target user on a social media through a social network connection attribute; obtaining and analyzing the posting number, the comment number and the like number data of the target user in the social media to obtain the activeness of the target user; determining which individual user can bring association invitations of group users based on the social circle where the user is located and group characteristics; recommending different incentive schemes according to different individual target users and group target users; obtaining simulation analysis of an activity period and historical data, and determining the length of the activity period and the change trend in the period; and according to the prediction result of the behavior change of the participant, adjusting an incentiv