Illumination intensity inertial prediction method based on multiple weight factors

The invention discloses a multi-weight-factor illumination intensity inertial prediction method, which is characterized by comprising the following steps of: combining historical meteorological data collected in a predicted geographical region of a transformer area according to a time sequence and arranging the historical meteorological data in an ascending order to obtain a data set; preprocessing the data set through data statistics to obtain preprocessed data; calculating the preprocessed data through a time sequence inertial prediction calculation method to obtain a prediction result; according to actual working experience, a weight is given for the first time, and a first illumination intensity prediction mathematical model is formed in combination with a prediction result; probability distribution calculation and confidence interval calculation are carried out on the prediction result to obtain an illumination intensity result; and judging the accuracy degree of each prediction according to the illumina