Regional power transformation path optimization method and device considering uncertain factors

The invention provides a regional power transformation path optimization method and device considering uncertain factors, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining a historical curve of regional new energy power generation output, and subtracting an output curve corresponding to new energy power generation matched with an external transmission channel from the historical curve to obtain an output result; generating a new energy power generation output typical scene through a clustering algorithm according to the output result; determining the capacity confidence coefficient of new energy power generation participating in power balance according to the power generation output typical scene; inputting a preset carbon emission budget and the capacity confidence coefficient of the new energy power generation participating in power balance into a pre-established regional power transformation path optimization model; and analyzing the regional power transformation path optimization model to obtain a final regio