High-energy-consumption and high-emission industry peak reaching path prediction method and system based on carbon flow

The invention belongs to the technical field of industry carbon emission path prediction, and particularly relates to a high-energy-consumption and high-emission industry peak reaching path prediction method and system based on carbon flow, and the method comprises the steps: building an industry development scene matrix based on the domestic total production value, population, industrial structure and import and export factors; based on the industry development scene matrix, establishing a high-energy-consumption and high-emission industry carbon flow dynamic balance relation, and determining a corresponding supply and demand balance relation; on the basis of a carbon flow dynamic balance relation, an optimization feedback mechanism of a specific objective function under multi-condition constraints on a time sequence is constructed, and the development scale, the energy consumption activity level and the technology penetration condition of each high-energy-consumption and high-emission industry on the time s