Regional electric vehicle load classification prediction method and system

The invention relates to a regional electric vehicle load classification prediction method and system, and the method comprises the following steps: obtaining historical per capita GDP data and historical thousand-person vehicle ownership data of a to-be-predicted region, and calculating a per capit...

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Hauptverfasser: GU DANZHEN, HONG RUIJIE, CAI SINAN, GUO MINGXING, MO RUANQING, LIU PANPAN, CHEN PENG, CHEN FEI'ER
Format: Patent
Sprache:chi ; eng
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Zusammenfassung:The invention relates to a regional electric vehicle load classification prediction method and system, and the method comprises the following steps: obtaining historical per capita GDP data and historical thousand-person vehicle ownership data of a to-be-predicted region, and calculating a per capita GDP prediction value and a saturation value of the thousand-person vehicle ownership; calculating according to a Gompertz function to obtain a predicted value of the automobile ownership of thousands of people; obtaining a resident population prediction value of the to-be-predicted region, and obtaining an automobile inventory prediction value of the to-be-predicted region; and obtaining historical electric vehicle promotion amount and historical electric rate data, calculating to obtain an electric vehicle permeability prediction value, and calculating to obtain an electric vehicle inventory prediction value by combining the vehicle inventory prediction value. Compared with the prior art, the method has the adva