Disaster outage probability calculation method and system for power distribution network equipment

The invention provides a power distribution network equipment disaster outage probability calculation method and system. The method comprises the following steps: acquiring meteorological data and line operation data; calculating a natural disaster outage probability based on the meteorological data...

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Hauptverfasser: FANG CHEN, CHEN YING, WEI XIAOCHUAN, SHI SHANSHAN, HUANG HUAWEI, ZHU ZHENG, CHEN LAIJUN, XU QIN, YAO WEIQIANG, SHEN BING
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creator FANG CHEN
CHEN YING
WEI XIAOCHUAN
SHI SHANSHAN
HUANG HUAWEI
ZHU ZHENG
CHEN LAIJUN
XU QIN
YAO WEIQIANG
SHEN BING
description The invention provides a power distribution network equipment disaster outage probability calculation method and system. The method comprises the following steps: acquiring meteorological data and line operation data; calculating a natural disaster outage probability based on the meteorological data and a pre-created environmental influence outage model; calculating a line fault outage probability based on the line operation data and a pre-created line influence outage model; discretizing the natural disaster outage probability and the line fault outage probability to generate a line comprehensive outage probability; the environmental influence shutdown model is created according to an acquired meteorological data sample, and the line influence shutdown model is created according to an acquired line operation data sample; according to the method, the problem that the disaster-affected outage probability of existing power distribution network equipment is difficult to accurately estimate is solved, and the dis
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subjects CALCULATING
COMPUTING
COUNTING
DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FORADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORYOR FORECASTING PURPOSES
PHYSICS
SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE,COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTINGPURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
title Disaster outage probability calculation method and system for power distribution network equipment
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