Agent electric quantity prediction method, device and equipment and medium

The invention discloses an agent electric quantity prediction method and device, equipment and a medium, and relates to the technical field of power systems, and the method comprises the steps: determining target monthly agent electric quantity which does not consider user loss and corresponds to a...

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Hauptverfasser: SHEN GUANG, LIU QIANG, ZHU JINGYI, WANG XIANGYANG, ZHAO WEN, HUANG HENGZI, YANG LI, PAN YIZHOU, ZHANG ZHI, LIN ZHENZHI, JIN LUOSONG, HE JIE, WEN AN
Format: Patent
Sprache:chi ; eng
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Zusammenfassung:The invention discloses an agent electric quantity prediction method and device, equipment and a medium, and relates to the technical field of power systems, and the method comprises the steps: determining target monthly agent electric quantity which does not consider user loss and corresponds to a first historical month based on a first loss rate of the first historical month and historical monthly agent electric quantity; decomposing the target monthly agent electric quantity to obtain a plurality of load components, predicting each load component according to a preset rule to obtain a predicted load component of the target month, and obtaining reconstructed target monthly agent electric quantity based on all the predicted load components; and constructing a target user churn rate model, predicting a second churn rate of the target month by using the target user churn rate model, and determining predicted monthly agent electric quantity considering user churn corresponding to the target month based on the s