Flight conflict autonomous resolution method under flight path uncertainty condition

The invention provides a flight conflict autonomous resolution method under a flight path uncertainty condition, and belongs to the field of air traffic management. Firstly, building a probability reachable model of flight tracks of a plurality of aircrafts in a target area on the ground; and fitting parameters of the prediction probability reachable model by using historical flight path data of each aircraft to obtain flight path probability distribution of each aircraft. Then, conflict judgment is performed according to the track probability distribution of each aircraft, and an autonomous decision-making model for aircraft conflict resolution is constructed; and finally, solving the autonomous decision-making model by adopting a multi-agent depth deterministic strategy gradient algorithm to obtain an optimal rerouting point set A when the n aircrafts conflict under the condition of track uncertainty. According to the method, the flight path probability distribution of the aircraft is acquired in advance by