SEM-Logit tourist railway passenger flow prediction model construction method

The invention discloses an SEM-Logit tourist railway passenger flow prediction model construction method. The construction method comprises the following steps of: 1, performing traffic generation prediction based on scenic spot grouping characteristics; 2, conducting travel distribution prediction based on tourism traffic area features; and 3, constructing an SEM-Logit mixed travel mode selection model. Compared with the prior art, the method has the positive effects that the prediction of the change of the tourism resources of the scenic spot in the year is considered, and the analysis precision of the traffic distribution characteristics can be effectively improved; and the influence of latent variables such as personal social economic characteristics and traffic mode attributes which are easy to observe and comfort, convenience and the like which are difficult to directly measure on traveler mode selection decision is comprehensively considered, an SEM-Logit travel mode selection model is constructed, and