Power grid static voltage stability margin probability prediction method considering new energy uncertainty

The invention relates to a power grid static voltage stability margin probability prediction method considering new energy uncertainty. The power grid static voltage stability margin probability prediction method specifically comprises the following steps: constructing a power prediction error model...

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Hauptverfasser: XU YEYAN, WANG XINYING, WANG JIANFENG, QI JINSHAN, LIAO SIYANG, PU TIANJIAO, YAO LIANGZHONG
Format: Patent
Sprache:chi ; eng
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Zusammenfassung:The invention relates to a power grid static voltage stability margin probability prediction method considering new energy uncertainty. The power grid static voltage stability margin probability prediction method specifically comprises the following steps: constructing a power prediction error model of new energy represented by wind power and photovoltaic; constructing a wind power and photovoltaic static scene generation model based on a prediction error model and Monte Carlo sampling; constructing a single-scene static voltage stability margin prediction method based on deep learning; and generating a power grid static voltage stability margin probability prediction result considering the new energy uncertainty by adopting a kernel density estimation method. The method has the following advantages: on one hand, the scene generation model based on the new energy prediction error considers the randomness of new energy power generation, and the obtained static voltage stability margin probability distribution