Power failure damage prediction method based on severe weather

The invention discloses a power failure damage prediction method based on severe weather. The method comprises the following steps: S1, confirming a data source; designing a spatial interpolation program according to different areas of a transformer substation area and a meteorological station, inte...

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Hauptverfasser: WANG WEIYING, ZOU QINGLI, LIU YI, SONG ZONGXUN, LIU YANHONG, ZHANG LEILEI, DU JIWEI, JIANG JIAWEI, TAO FANGJIE, SONG YITING
Format: Patent
Sprache:chi ; eng
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Zusammenfassung:The invention discloses a power failure damage prediction method based on severe weather. The method comprises the following steps: S1, confirming a data source; designing a spatial interpolation program according to different areas of a transformer substation area and a meteorological station, interpolating point meteorological information into the transformer substation area, and associating power failure of the transformer substation area with weather variables interpolated into the transformer substation area; establishing a damage prediction model: performing damage prediction model fitting by using the convergence of the trace graph and the autocorrelation graph diagnosis chain; and performing power failure damage prediction by using the damage prediction model. The loss prediction based on the weather forecast of the appropriate spatial scale can improve the efficiency of risk management by reducing the economic and social cost related to the repair work. 一种基于恶劣天气的停电损害预测方法,包括步骤S1,确认数据来源;针对变电站区域和气象站不同区域