Bus load combined prediction method and system based on distribution factors and information entropy

The invention discloses a bus load combined prediction method and system based on a distribution factor and information entropy, and relates to the technical field of power grids. The method comprisesthe steps of determining a prediction day, and determining a similar day of the prediction day accor...

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Hauptverfasser: YIN CHENGQUAN, JIANG YAN, GAO DAOCHUN, CHEN KAI, ZHAO ZHENYU, LUAN YI, HE JINDING, ZHOU BINBIN, WANG YOUXIANG, ZHOU HAN, LI XIUFENG, DUAN RUIQIN, WU YANG, ZHANG CONGTONG, WU DONGPING
Format: Patent
Sprache:chi ; eng
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Zusammenfassung:The invention discloses a bus load combined prediction method and system based on a distribution factor and information entropy, and relates to the technical field of power grids. The method comprisesthe steps of determining a prediction day, and determining a similar day of the prediction day according to a load in a power grid; determining a distribution factor according to the historical dataof each type of load of the similar day; determining at least two prediction models, taking the prediction precision as a target attribute, determining a weight vector of each prediction model throughinformation entropy, and weighting each prediction model according to the weight vector to obtain a combined prediction model; and processing the historical data according to the distribution factor,and inputting the processed historical data into the combined prediction model to obtain a bus load prediction result of the prediction day. The invention is suitable for bus load prediction, improves the type load prediction p