Energy system reliability determination method, device and equipment

The invention provides an energy system reliability determination method, device and equipment, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining the supply and demand data of a target energy system; generating a first dynamic event tree of the target energy system, wherein the first dynamic event tree...

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Bibliographische Detailangaben
Hauptverfasser:	ZHANG JINGJUN, SU HUAI, FAN LIN, CHI LIXUN, LI XUEYI
Format:	Patent
Sprache:	chi ; eng
Schlagworte:	CALCULATING COMPUTER SYSTEMS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS COMPUTING COUNTING DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FORADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORYOR FORECASTING PURPOSES PHYSICS SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE,COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTINGPURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
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Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:	The invention provides an energy system reliability determination method, device and equipment, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining the supply and demand data of a target energy system; generating a first dynamic event tree of the target energy system, wherein the first dynamic event tree comprises all event sequences possibly occurring in the target energy system; according to the supply and demand data and the first dynamic event tree, determining failure probability data corresponding to multiple system composition conditions within preset time, wherein the multiple system composition conditions include that the target energy system contains electricity-to-gas and does not contain electricity-to-gas; and determining the reliability of the target energy system under the condition of each system composition according to the failure probability data. In the embodiment of the invention, the first dynamic event tree can be used for accurately reflecting the physical model of the target energy system a