User maximum demand estimation method

The invention belongs to the field of power selling markets of power systems, and particularly relates to a user maximum demand estimation method based on a comprehensive prediction model, which comprises the following steps: acquiring historical load power consumption data, and establishing a model...

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Hauptverfasser: QIAN XINGBO, HUANG MINGLEI, HUANG JIANWEN, LI RUIFENG, WANG DAPENG, ZOU GUOHUI, LI JIANBIAO, PENG ZEWU, SUI YU, RUAN MIANHUI, GUO SIXIAO, PEI QIUGEN, WEI LIHAO, QIAN YI, XIAO ZHANHUI, WEN BAIJIAN, CHEN JIANFU, YANG KUN, TANG XIAOCHUAN, CAO ANYING, LING HUAMING, YOU XUEFENG, LIU YAO, LIU YA, XIE HANYANG, DUAN XINHUI, LIAO ZHIGE, QIU GUANXIN, CAI HUI, JIANG JIANG
Format: Patent
Sprache:chi ; eng
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Zusammenfassung:The invention belongs to the field of power selling markets of power systems, and particularly relates to a user maximum demand estimation method based on a comprehensive prediction model, which comprises the following steps: acquiring historical load power consumption data, and establishing a model based on a GDP comprehensive power consumption method, a per capita power consumption method and alinear regression method to predict the annual power consumption of the model; predicting the annual growth rate of the electricity consumption of the user by integrating the prediction models; predicting the maximum load utilization hours of the current month based on historical data and an inter-month correlation method; and estimating the maximum demand of the user in the current month in the current year according to the power consumption of the user in the current month in the last year, the predicted power consumption growth rate and the maximum load utilization hours in the current month. The method is used for