A short-term load prediction method considering somatosensory temperature and radiation intensity

The invention discloses a short-term load prediction method considering somatosensory temperature and radiation intensity. The short-term load prediction method comprises the following steps of 1) inquiring sample data such as historical load and weather; 2) calculating historical somatosensory temp...

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Hauptverfasser: ZHANG KEHENG, YU LE, SHI PEIRAN, NING JIAN, SHI LEI, GENG LIN, XIE XU, TU MENGFU, SHEN MAOYA, ZHANG JING
Format: Patent
Sprache:chi ; eng
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Zusammenfassung:The invention discloses a short-term load prediction method considering somatosensory temperature and radiation intensity. The short-term load prediction method comprises the following steps of 1) inquiring sample data such as historical load and weather; 2) calculating historical somatosensory temperature data and a daily load level; 3) selecting an optimal'mode similar day 'from the historical sample data set on the basis of the day type information and meteorological data of the to-be-predicted day, and finally calculating to obtain a normalized load curve; 4) establishing a neural networkprediction model considering the somatosensory temperature and the sunlight intensity to obtain the load level of the to-be-predicted day; and 5) calculating load data of the to-be-predicted day through the normalization curve and the load level. According to the method, the influence on the somatosensory temperature of the load and the sunlight intensity of the distributed photovoltaic power generation are fully consider