METHOD AND SYSTEM FOR PREDICTING THE IMPACT OF FORECASTED WEATHER, ENVIRONMENTAL AND/OR GEOLOGIC CONDITIONS

A system and method of predicting the impact of forecasted weather, environmental, and geologic events (that include one or more weather/environmental/geologic conditions) by determining a recurrenceinterval of each past condition in each location, determining the correlation between the past condit...

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Bibliographische Detailangaben
Hauptverfasser: RADICH ROSEMARY, BOWERS JENNIFER, ROOT MICHAEL R, ROEHSNER PAUL, LOFTUS TIM, RAYMOND PAUL
Format: Patent
Sprache:chi ; eng
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Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:A system and method of predicting the impact of forecasted weather, environmental, and geologic events (that include one or more weather/environmental/geologic conditions) by determining a recurrenceinterval of each past condition in each location, determining the correlation between the past condition and the observable impact of the past event, calculating a predicted observable impact of eachpast event, calculating a predicted impact of each past event recurring by multiplying the predicted observable impact of the past event by the recurrence interval of the past condition, grouping thepast events into a plurality of groups based on the predicted impact of the past condition recurring, determining a threshold for each group, receiving forecasted conditions, and determining the predicted impact of the forecasted conditions by comparing the forecasted conditions with the thresholds. 种预测天气预报事件、环境预报事件和地质预报事件(其包括种或更多种天气/环境/地质状况)的系统和方法,通过确定每个位置中每个过去状况的重现期,确定过去状况与过去事件的可观察影响之间的相关性,计算每个过去事件的预测可观察影响,通过将过去事件的预测可观察影响