PM2.5 prediction and early warning method and system based on nonlinear theory

The present invention discloses a PM2.5 prediction and early warning method and system based on the nonlinear theory. The method comprises a model training step and a model prediction step, and specifically comprises: dividing PM2.5 concentration time series data into two groups, and taking the two...

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Hauptverfasser: XIE LIANKE, ZHANG GUOYING, HAN YUE, WANG KUN, GUO BENXIANG, LI JIAYU, LI FANGWEI, CUI XIANGYU, GONG QUANQUAN, ZANG YUWEI, LIU HUI, YIN JIANGUANG, MA XINGANG, YAN WENJING, DOU DANDAN, PENG FEI
Format: Patent
Sprache:chi ; eng
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Zusammenfassung:The present invention discloses a PM2.5 prediction and early warning method and system based on the nonlinear theory. The method comprises a model training step and a model prediction step, and specifically comprises: dividing PM2.5 concentration time series data into two groups, and taking the two groups as a training time series data set and a test time series data set respectively; performing S-level wavelet decomposition and time-frequency analysis on the data of the training time series data set, expanding one-dimensional information into high-dimensional information, extracting implicitinformation of PM2.5 historical data, and obtaining a training time series index data set; constructing a predictive model; training the predictive model; performing MLRC-LSSVR model prediction on thetest time series data set, performing variance analysis on a model prediction result, and obtaining an upper critical value of the confidence interval as a final prediction result. The technical scheme of the present inventio