Diversified-energy production pattern predicating method based on smart power grid innovative demonstration plot

The invention relates to a diversified-energy production pattern predicating method based on a smart power grid innovative demonstration plot. The technical characteristic of the predicating method comprises the following steps: step 1, determining influence factor indexes of the diversified-energy production pattern, and establishing an influence factor index system; step 2, determining the weight of each influence factor index of the diversified-energy production pattern by adopting an improved analytic hierarchy process; and step 3, predicating the diversified-energy production pattern through a second-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. According to the predicating method, firstly the influence factors and corresponding indexes of the diversified-energy production pattern are determined based on four aspects of acquisition, trade, efficiency and technological research and development, and the specific calculation formula for the indexes is provided; secondly, the weight of each influence factor is determined by adopting the improved analytic hierarchy process, so that the problem of computational complexity of the conventional analytic hierarchy process is solved; and thirdly, the evaluation result is worked out by adopting the second-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, so that the guidance for the energy planning and developing of the energy internet is provided.