Vague predicting method for city short-distance logistics simple target delivering time

The invention discloses a vague predicting method and system for city short-distance logistics simple target delivering time. First, different logistics routes are determined according to actual logistics distribution, and the logistics routes are divided into a plurality of independent road sections. Then passing time of distributing vehicles on all the road sections in different logistics routes is collected in real time through a GPS locating system. The collected road section passing time value is used for generating independent road section marks according to the time sequence. The independent road section marks generated in the logistics routes are stored in a sample base as samples in the logistic routes. Finally, a time cycle is selected, a vague predicating result of simple target distributing time is generated. The method is simple, and strong in operability. Moreover, the prediction result can be basically used as distribution time window selection in items, so that the vague predicting method and system can improve the logistics distribution service quality and reduce the on-passage time of fresh farm products.