METHOD AND APPARATUS FOR PREDICTING INFLUENCE OF TRADE DISPUTES ON TOTAL ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION

Abstract The invention provides a method and an apparatus for predicting the influence of trade disputes on total electricity consumption. It's an object of the invention to provide a method for measuring the influence of the international trade disputes on total electricity consumption in the...

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Bibliographische Detailangaben
Hauptverfasser:	LIU, Qing, LIU, Xiaocong, ZHANG, Lili, ZHANG, Chenglong, DUAN, Jinhui, TANG, Wei, JI, Xingpei, XU, Zhao, TAN, Xiandong, XU, Nan, WU, Chenrui, SHAN, Baoguo, LI, Jiangtao, WENG, Yuyan, XUE, Wanlei, WANG, Hong, WANG, Xiang, ZHANG, Chuncheng, JI, Guoqiang, WU, Shanshan
Format:	Patent
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	CALCULATING COMPUTING COUNTING DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FORADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORYOR FORECASTING PURPOSES PHYSICS SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE,COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTINGPURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
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Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:	Abstract The invention provides a method and an apparatus for predicting the influence of trade disputes on total electricity consumption. It's an object of the invention to provide a method for measuring the influence of the international trade disputes on total electricity consumption in the whole society of China, including: comprehensively quantifying the influence of the international trade disputes on a growth rate of electricity consumption increment for a sub-sector, calculating how the sub-sector and three industries in China are influenced by the international trade disputes in electricity consumption by considering the change of electricity consumption per increment in the sub-sector, and then using an econometric model to calculate the influence of the international trade disputes on electricity consumption for residential living to finally obtain the influence of the international trade disputes on total electricity consumption in the whole society of China. As such, the influence of the international trade disputes on China's economy and electricity demand as well as its trend in the fourteenth Five-Year Plan period is studied, which is of great significance for government to formulate the fourteenth Five-Year Plan together with enterprises, and to avoid external risks. Acquire a percentage of the influence of trade disputes on a growth rate of an electricity consumption increment for sub-sector through a pre-constructed Global Trade Analysis Project model according to known policies on additional 5101 tariffs Acquire a percentage of the influence of trade disputes on a growth rate of electricity consuption for three industries according to kaon electricity consumption for the sub sector, electricity consmWtion per increment, and the percentage of the influence of trade 5102 disputes on the growth rate of the electricity consumtion increment for the sub-sector Acquire an u average natural growth rate of electricity consumption for residential living according to history data, and acquire a percentage of the influence of trade disputes on a growth rate of electricity consumption for residential living according to the annual average 5103 natural growth rate of electricity consumption for residential living and knon actual electricity consumption for residential living Predict a percentage of the influence of trade disputes on a growth rate of total electricity constaption according to the percentage of the influence of trade disputes on the gr