A Model for Hazard Assessment of the Explosion of an Explosives Vehicle in a Built-Up Area

A model is described for the hazard assessment of the accidental initiation of condensed phase explosives during transit in a built-up area. The model is in two parts. The first part is a scenario model which allows the user to configure a specific scenario and the second part is a set of consequence sub-models. These sub-models cover the explosion effects and the injuries to be expected from them. The explosion effects are the blast, fireball, primary fragments (casing), crater ejecta, falling debris, building collapse and flying glass. Each submodel gives the intensity of the physical effects as a function of distance and the probability of injury as a function of that intensity. Illustrative examples are given of the injuries to be expected from the explosion of explosive loads. See also ADM000767. Presented at the Proceedings of the DoD Explosives Safety Seminar (26th) Held in Miami, FL on 16-18 August 1994. Published in the Proceedings of the DoD Explosives Safety Seminar Conference, August 1994.