Weather Scenarios for Central Germany

A weather scenario can be defined as a realistic synthesis of sensible weather conditions over a specified area and time frame. A weather scenario should not be confused with operational weather forecasts provided by weather support personnel. The need for realistic weather to be introduced into war gaming models has been the impetus for developing weather scenarios for central Germany. Factors considered in developing these scenarios were: (1) latitude, (2) elevation (3) terrain features, (4) distribution of land and water, (5) pressure center paths, (6) ocean currents, (7) air mass transport, and (8) upper level winds. Although this report contains meteorological terminology, the scenarios are easily understood and have been used effectively by the nonmeteorologist. These scenarios have been provided to the US Army Concepts Analysis Agency and the US Army TRADOC Systems Analysis Activity. (Author)