A Dynamic Model for Mission Realignment Socio-Economic Impact Analysis

The purpose of this study was to create a computer based model using System Dynamics modeling techniques and the DYNAMO language which would provide insight into the economic relationships among military bases and local communities. The model can be used to aid in forecasting the impacts of base closures or mission changes upon the local communities. The need for such a model arises because previous DOD efforts to predict effects have fallen short of expectations. The research strives to determine pertinent interrelationships, trace their causes and effects, formulate control processes for the relationships, construct a mathematical model of the processes, generate simulation of system behavior over time, and finally to test the validity of the model with historical data. (Author)