Short-Range Prediction of the Average Surface Wind Speed Over the South China Sea During the Northeast Monsoon Season

Short-Range Prediction of the Average Surface Wind Speed Over the South China Sea During the Northeast Monsoon Season

Using five years of winter-season data, empirical equations are developed to provide 24-, 30-, and 48-hour forecasts of the average surface wind speed in the northern part of the South China Sea during the Northeast Monsoon season. The sea-level pressure over subtropical China and persistence are fo...

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Bibliographische Detailangaben
1. Verfasser: Bocchieri,Joseph R
Format: Report
Sprache:eng
Schlagworte:
ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE
BAROMETRIC PRESSURE
CORRELATION TECHNIQUES
Meteorology
MONSOONS
PERIODIC VARIATIONS
REGRESSION ANALYSIS
SOUTH CHINA SEA
SYNOPTIC METEOROLOGY
VELOCITY
WIND
WIND VELOCITY
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Zusammenfassung:Using five years of winter-season data, empirical equations are developed to provide 24-, 30-, and 48-hour forecasts of the average surface wind speed in the northern part of the South China Sea during the Northeast Monsoon season. The sea-level pressure over subtropical China and persistence are found to be suitable predictors. The equations are simple and convenient to use, exhibit some skill over persistence, and should be operationally useful. They should be especially helpful during the period subsequent to a surge in the Northeast Monsoon. (Author)