The evolution of spatial and temporal distribution of rainfall erosivity in Henan Province, central China

With the advancement of urbanization, there has been a significant reduction in cultivated land, accompanied by soil erosion. Concurrently, the regularity of rainfall in recent years has been erratic, adversely impacting the grain economy and agricultural development in certain regions. Henan Province, spanning the basins of the Yangtze River, the Yellow River, the Huaihe River, and the Haihe River, possesses complex hydrological conditions and serves as a pivotal agricultural zone in China. Therefore, this paper utilizes daily rainfall data collected over 54 years (1969–2022) from 112 rain measuring stations in Henan Province to calculate the rainfall erosivity using the Zhang model and the erosivity model from the first national water survey. Meanwhile, spatial analysis was performed using the Kriging interpolation method in the ArcGIS Geostatistical Wizard, resulting in detailed spatial distribution maps of rainfall and rainfall erosivity. The study also employed Wavelet and Mann–Kendall tests to analyze the abrupt changes, trends and periodicity of rainfall and rainfall erosivity within the target region. The findings indicate that the average rainfall (1969–2022) in Henan province was 718.26 mm, while the average rainfall erosivity ( R ) was 3213.46 MJ mm/(hm 2 h). R values are positively correlated with rainfall intensity and volume, displaying an annual upward trend. Spatially, R values increase gradually from northwest to southeast, closely aligning with topographical variations. Additionally, the analysis revealed a predominant periodic cycle of 54 years in the precipitation patterns. These results offer valuable insights for environmental and agricultural management in other regions of central China.