Prediction of Adverse Post-Infarction Left Ventricular Remodeling Using a Multivariate Regression Model

Background. In order to provide personalized medicine and improve cardiovascular outcomes, a method for predicting adverse left ventricular remodeling (ALVR) after ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is needed. Methods. A total of 125 STEMI patients, mean age 51.2 (95% CI 49.6; 52.7) years were prospectively enrolled. The clinical, laboratory, and instrumental examinations were performed between the 7th and 9th day, and after 24 and 48 weeks, including plasma analysis of brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), transthoracic echocardiography, analysis of left ventricular-arterial coupling, applanation tonometry, ultrasound examination of the common carotid arteries with RF signal amplification. Results. Patients were divided into 2 groups according to echocardiography: “ALVR” (n = 63)—end-diastolic volume index (EDVI) >20% and/or end-systolic volume index (ESVI) >15% after 24 weeks compared with initial values; “non-ALVR” (n = 62)—EDVI