Evaluation of physiological and operative severity score for enumeration of mortality and morbidity and Portsmouth modification of possum scores in patients with hollow viscus perforation

Background: The physiological and operative severity score for the enumeration of mortality and morbidity (POSSUM) is widely used to predict the morbidity and mortality in a variety of surgical settings and provides a tool for risk adjustment and comparison. The aim of this study was to assess the predicting morbidity and mortality in hollow viscus perforation by applying POSSUM and Portsmouth modification of POSSUM scores. Methods: This study was a prospective study conducted on 33 patients admitted in the Department of General Surgery, Chalmeda Anand Rao Institute of Medical Sciences, Karimnagar, from September 2016 to August 2017, and present detailed records of the parameters under evaluation of patients admitted to surgical wards with the clinical diagnosis of hollow viscus perforation (gastric/duodenal/ileal perforation). Results: During the present study period, a total of 136 patients were operated on small bowel, and of these 33 cases fulfilled all the criteria and were selected for this study. The overall mortality in this study was 6 (18.18% of the study), while the morbidity was noted in 17 cases (51% of study). Mortality rates differed with POSSUM scores over predicting the mortality. On applying POSSUM, using exponential analysis, we found that the expected number of deaths for our study group is 10 (O:E = 1.66). Conclusion: On applying POSSUM using the exponential analysis, we found that the expected number of deaths for our study group is 10 (O:E = 1.66). We found the difference between expected and observed mortality rates using the exponential analysis.