Risk factors for prolonged mechanical ventilation in critically ill patients with influenza-related acute respiratory distress syndrome

Patients with influenza-related acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) are critically ill and require mechanical ventilation (MV) support. Prolonged mechanical ventilation (PMV) is often seen in these cases and the optimal management strategy is not established. This study aimed to investigate risk factors for PMV and factors related to weaning failure in these patients. This retrospective cohort study was conducted by eight medical centers in Taiwan. All patients in the intensive care unit with virology-proven influenza-related ARDS requiring invasive MV from January 1 to March 31, 2016, were included. Demographic data, critical illness data and clinical outcomes were collected and analyzed. PMV is defined as mechanical ventilation use for more than 21 days. There were 263 patients with influenza-related ARDS requiring invasive MV enrolled during the study period. Seventy-eight patients had PMV. The final weaning rate was 68.8% during 60 days of observation. The mortality rate in PMV group was 39.7%. Risk factors for PMV were body mass index (BMI) > 25 (kg/m ) [odds ratio (OR) 2.087; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.006-4.329], extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) use (OR 6.181; 95% CI 2.338-16.336), combined bacterial pneumonia (OR 4.115; 95% CI 2.002-8.456) and neuromuscular blockade use over 48 h (OR 2.8; 95% CI 1.334-5.879). In addition, risk factors for weaning failure in PMV patients were ECMO (OR 5.05; 95% CI 1.75-14.58) use and bacteremia (OR 3.91; 95% CI 1.20-12.69). Patients with influenza-related ARDS and PMV have a high mortality rate. Risk factors for PMV include BMI > 25, ECMO use, combined bacterial pneumonia and neuromuscular blockade use over 48 h. In addition, ECMO use and bacteremia predict unsuccessful weaning in PMV patients.