Uncertainty quantification of borehole heat exchanger design length based on a global sensitivity analysis

Ground heat exchangers are essential components of ground-source heat pump systems. One of the most-used ground heat exchanger types is a borehole heat exchanger (BHE). Many parameters, such as the building thermal loads, ground thermal properties, and BHE components, influence the required BHE length. Therefore, understanding how individual parameter uncertainties are propagated to the output is counterintuitive. In this study, a global sensitivity analysis (GSA) was performed using the framework of the American Society of Heating, Refrigerating, and Air Conditioning Engineers (ASHRAE) BHE design method. The GSA was conducted to identify the subparameters behind the input parameters of ASHRAE design method, which indirectly determine the BHE lengths by impacting the direct input parameters in the ASHRAE formula. The results reveal that the zone infiltration, heat pump efficiency, ground temperature, effective borehole thermal resistance, and electric equipment heat gain are the most influential parameters on the BHE design length.