Construction and validation of a risk prediction model for frailty in patients with inflammatory bowel disease

Objective To establish a risk prediction model for frailty in patients with inflammatory bowel disease and verify its prediction effect. Methods A classic sampling method was used to collect samples from 360 patients with inflammatory bowel disease who were hospitalized in the Department of Gastroenterology of Peking Union Medical College Hospital from July 2021 to November 2021. According to the evaluation results of the FRAIL Scale (FS), patients were divided into two group: frail group and non-frail group. The differences of demographic factors and disease related factors between the two categories of patients were compared. Randomized number method was used to divide the model group and verification group at a ratio of 8∶2. Logistic regression analysis was used to establish a risk prediction model. Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2 was used to test the prediction model fitting effect, and receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn. Area under ROC curve (AUC) and Youden index were calculated to evaluate