Multiple biomarkers predict disease severity, progression and mortality in COPD

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a heterogeneous disease characterized by multiple subtypes and variable disease progression. Blood biomarkers have been variably associated with subtype, severity, and disease progression. Just as combined clinical variables are more highly predictive of outcomes than individual clinical variables, we hypothesized that multiple biomarkers may be more informative than individual biomarkers to predict subtypes, disease severity, disease progression, and mortality. Fibrinogen, C-Reactive Protein (CRP), surfactant protein D (SP-D), soluble Receptor for Advanced Glycation Endproducts (sRAGE), and Club Cell Secretory Protein (CC16) were measured in the plasma of 1465 subjects from the COPDGene cohort and 2746 subjects from the ECLIPSE cohort. Regression analysis was performed to determine whether these biomarkers, individually or in combination, were predictive of subtypes, disease severity, disease progression, or mortality, after adjustment for clinical covariates. In COPDGene, the best combinations of biomarkers were: CC16, sRAGE, fibrinogen, CRP, and SP-D for airflow limitation (p