Lead exposure and impaired glucose homeostasis in Chinese adults: A repeated measures study with 5 years of follow-up

Experimental studies suggest the diabetogenic effects of lead, but relevant data in humans are limited and have been primarily based on cross-sectional study design. We aimed to prospectively examine the association between lead exposure and glucose homeostasis in general population using repeated measurements. This cohort study included 5505 Chinese adults free of glucose-lowering medication use at baseline in 2014 and followed up 5 years later. Blood lead and glucose metabolic traits including fasting plasma glucose (FPG), fasting serum insulin, the homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), and HOMA of beta-cell function (HOMA-B) were measured at baseline and follow-up. Linear mixed models and linear regression models were performed to evaluate the associations between blood lead and markers of glucose homeostasis. After full adjustment for confounders including BMI, an interquartile range (IQR) increase in blood lead levels was associated with a 2.26 % increase in FPG (95 % CI: 0.16 %, 4.39 %) and an 11.3 % decrease in HOMA-B (95 % CI: − 19.1 %, − 2.71 %) in women. The odds ratios of hyperglycemia and beta-cell dysfunction corresponding to an IQR increase in blood lead levels were 1.39 (95 % CI: 0.99, 1.95) and 1.74 (95 % CI: 1.00, 3.03), respectively. Similar results were found for 5-year changes of glucose metabolic markers. Compared with the first quartile of baseline lead levels, the highest lead quartile was associated with an additional 3.03 % increase in FPG (95 % CI: 0.84 %, 5.26 %) and an additional 13.3 % decrease in HOMA-B (95 % CI: − 20.4 %, − 5.53 %) in women during follow-up. We observed no overall associations between blood lead levels and glucose metabolic markers in men. Our findings provide suggestive evidence that environmental exposure to lead might contribute to sex-dependent disruption of glucose homeostasis in general adult population. ●Analysis of blood lead levels (BLLs) and glucose metabolic markers was performed.●Higher BLLs were related to higher FPG and lower HOMA-B based on repeated measures.●Higher BLLs were related to longitudinal increases in FPG and decreases in HOMA-B.●The observed association was sex-dependent and predominantly existed in women.