Predictors of early and interim culture un-conversion in multidrug-resistant/rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis: a retrospective multi-center cohort study in China

We aimed to evaluate the predictors for early and interim culture conversion within 2 months and 6 months of treatment in multidrug-resistant/rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis (MDR/RR-TB) patients in China. This study included adult MDR/RR-TB patients with a positive baseline sputum culture from 8 institutions located in different cities in China from May 2018 to January 2022. We mainly used logistic regression model to derive possible predictors of early and interim culture conversion. A total of 813 patients were enrolled and 28.5% of them received multidrug-resistant treatment regimens containing bedaquiline. Of these, 362 (44.5%) patients experienced culture conversion within 2 months of treatment, and 649 (79.8%) within 6 months. The results of the multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that acid-fast bacilli smear positive (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 1.637, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.197-2.238), cavities (aOR = 1.539, 95% CI = 1.132-2.092), bilateral disease (aOR = 1.638, 95% CI = 1.183-2.269), and viral hepatitis (aOR = 2.585, 95% CI = 1.189-5.622) were identified as risk factors for early culture un-conversion within 2 months of treatment. Additionally, smoking history (aOR = 2.197, 95% CI = 1.475-3.273), previous treatment for tuberculosis (aOR = 1.909, 95% CI = 1.282-2.844), bilateral disease (aOR = 2.201, 95% CI = 1.369-3.537), viral hepatitis (aOR = 2.329, 95% CI = 1.094-4.962) were identified as risk factors for interim culture un-conversion within 6 months of treatment, while patients with regimen containing bedaquiline (aOR = 0.310, 95% CI = 0.191-0.502) was a protective factor. A history of smoking, a baseline sputum AFB smear positive, lung cavities, bilateral disease, previous anti-tuberculosis treatment, or a comorbidity of viral hepatitis can be used as the predictors for early and interim culture un-conversion in MDR/RR-TB patients, while bedaquiline was a protective factor .