Prescribing Trends and Associated Outcomes of Antiepileptic Drugs and Other Psychotropic Medications in US Nursing Homes: Proposal for a Mixed Methods Investigation

Pilot data suggest that off-label, unmonitored antiepileptic drug prescribing for behavioral and psychological symptoms of dementia is increasing, replacing other psychotropic medications targeted by purposeful reduction efforts. This trend accelerated during the COVID-19 pandemic. Although adverse outcomes related to this trend remain unknown, preliminary results hint that harms may be increasing and concentrated in vulnerable populations. Using a mixed methods approach including both a retrospective secondary data analysis and a national clinician survey, this study aims to describe appropriate and potentially inappropriate antiepileptic and other psychoactive drug prescribing in US nursing homes (NHs), characteristics and patient-oriented outcomes associated with this prescribing, and how these phenomena may be changing under the combined stressors of the COVID-19 pandemic and the pressure of reduction initiatives. To accomplish the objective, resident-level, mixed-effects regression models and interrupted time-series analyses will draw on cohort elements linked at an individual level from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services' (CMS) Minimum Data Set, Medicare Part D, Medicare Provider Analysis and Review, and Outpatient and Public Use Files. Quarterly cohorts of NH residents (2009-2021) will incorporate individual-level data, including demographics; health status; disease variables; psychotropic medication claims; comprehensive NH health outcomes; hospital and emergency department adverse events; and NH details, including staffing resources and COVID-19 statistics. To help explain and validate findings, we will conduct a national qualitative survey of NH prescribers regarding their knowledge and beliefs surrounding changing approaches to dementia care and associated outcomes. Funding was obtained in September 2022. Institutional review board exemption approval was obtained in January 2023. The CMS Data Use Agreement was submitted in May 2023 and signed in March 2024. Data access was obtained in June 2024. Cohort creation is anticipated by January 2025, with crosswalks finalized by July 2025. The first survey was fielded in October 2023 and published in July 2024. The second survey was fielded in March 2024. The results are in review as of July 2024. Iterative survey cycles will continue biannually until December 2026. Multidisciplinary dissemination of survey analysis results began in July 2023, and dissemination of secondary data findings is