Severe acute respiratory syndrome epidemic in Asia

We analyzed the dynamics of cumulative severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) cases in Singapore, Hong Kong, and Beijing using the Richards model. The predicted total SARS incidence was close to the actual number of cases; the predicted cessation date was close to the lower limit of the 95% confid...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Emerging infectious diseases 2003-12, Vol.9 (12), p.1608-1610
Hauptverfasser:	Zhou, Guofa, Yan, Guiyun
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	China - epidemiology cumulative cases Dispatch Hong Kong - epidemiology Humans infectious disease Models, Biological net reproductive rate population dynamics Richards model SARS SARS coronavirus Severe acute respiratory syndrome Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome - epidemiology Singapore - epidemiology
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Zusammenfassung:	We analyzed the dynamics of cumulative severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) cases in Singapore, Hong Kong, and Beijing using the Richards model. The predicted total SARS incidence was close to the actual number of cases; the predicted cessation date was close to the lower limit of the 95% confidence interval.
ISSN:	1080-6040 1080-6059
DOI:	10.3201/eid0912.030382